Southwest monsoon has made a strong comeback in India. After several weeks of heavy rain in some states, the weather pattern is about to change. However, the departure from normal seasonal rainfall in the country has improved to -14.3%, bringing it back into the ‘normal’ category. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), this change has come when the daily rainfall levels in the country have been above average for nine consecutive days. This latest increase in rainfall has largely offset the severe rainfall deficit in June.
the weather is about to change again
It remained stagnant for about three weeks after the arrival of monsoon in Kerala in June. Monsoon activity intensified again in early July due to a low pressure system over central India and the Bay of Bengal, causing widespread rainfall over western, central and northern India. Since the beginning of July, average daily rainfall has been above the long-term average. This has increased the water level in the reservoirs, added moisture to the soil and has accelerated Kharif sowing in many states. However, meteorologists say that this improvement may last only for some time.
there will be heavy rain at some places
The Meteorological Department has said, Monsoon is going to change its course for the next few days because after being continuously active in North and Central India, the trough line is now moving northwards, due to which the rainfall conditions will weaken in large parts of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Western Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and Western Madhya Pradesh. However, according to the department, there is a possibility of more rain in Himachal, Uttarakhand, Eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Bengal and North-Eastern states.
there will be less rain in some places
Experts say that until the monsoon trough moves southwards again, chances of rain in north-west and central India will remain low. It may take four to five days or more for the trough to subside again. Estimates suggest that there will be a significant reduction in rainfall activity over North, West and Central India (including the West Coast) between July 10 and July 15, as the existing low pressure area is weakening and moving away.
Satellite images also show that there has been a significant reduction in clouds over the main monsoon areas of the country. Due to the expected reduction in rainfall, the total seasonal rainfall in India may once again fall to below normal levels by mid-July. This changing rainfall pattern also matches ‘El Nino’ ​​conditions in the equatorial Pacific.
El Nino effect will be visible
Unlike normal monsoon years, El Nino often causes long and frequent gaps in rainfall over large areas, interrupting the active monsoon season. Instead of continuous rainfall throughout the season, the climate is characterized by periods of extreme rainfall and long periods of drought. Although the recent heavy rains have significantly improved the water situation in India, meteorologists say the monsoon season still remains highly uncertain.
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SK Sharma is a content writer who writes on news, entertainment, and lifestyle topics. She has over four years of experience and is known for conveying information in simple and clear language.
